简介：随着浙江省各地对人影业务的需求日益提高，人影作业量逐年增加，这对浙江如何科学管理人影业务提出了新挑战。基于B／S模式建设一套面向省市县的人影业务管理系统，解决了人影业务操作规范化，管理标准化、科学化，信息数据化，信息口径统一化等问题，一定程度上提高了工作效率，促进了人影业务现代化发展的目的。另外，系统还具备对业务工作实时监管和弹药安全审批等功能，增强了人影安全生产的监管能力。

简介：塑造耳朵的热前面(ESTF)，由黄海温暖的水流(YSWC)和山东沿海的水流(SCC)的集中形成了，在冬季是在黄海(YS)的很重要的海洋的现象。在所有表明的situ大小和分析数据集，ESTF在1950s-1990s，和一个类似的变弱趋势期间一直在变弱，这是也在YS上在冬季季风发现。数字实验证明变弱冬季季风能沿着瓷器海岸和向南方的异常水流与向北方异常的水流在多十的timescale上在YS导致异常发行量在里面中央对季节的吝啬的循环YSgenerally相反。异常发行量引起YSWC和SCC的减速，并且因此削弱ESTF。因为ESTF在地区性的海洋动力学和由空至海的相互作用起重要作用，它变弱在冬季在YS为地区性的气候有重要含意。

简介：Inordertotheoreticallystudythebucklepropagationofsubseapipelineswithslip-onbucklearrestors,atwo-dimensionalringmodelwassetuptorepresentthepipelineandanonlinearspringmodelwasadoptedtosimulatethecontactbetweenpipeline’sinnerwallsandbetweenpipeline’souterwallandslip-onbucklearrestor’sinnerwallduringbucklepropagation.Inaddition,somereversespringsareaddedtopreventthewallofleftandrightsidesseparatingfromtheinnerwallofslip-onbucklearrestors.Consideringlargedeformationkinematicsrelationsandtheelastic-plasticconstitutiverelationofmaterial,balanceequationswereestablishedwiththeprincipleofvirtualwork.Thevariationofexternalpressurewithrespecttothecross-sectionalareaofpipelineswasanalyzed,andthelowerboundofthecrossoverpressureofslip-onbucklearrestorswascalculatedbasedonMaxwell’senergybalancemethod.Bycomparingthetheoreticalresultswithexperimentandfiniteelementnumericalsimulation,thetheoreticalmethodisprovedtobecorrectandreliable.

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简介：根据一系列重要历史的地图，即，华南海岛，Nansha岛，Zhongsha岛，Xisha岛，Yongxing岛和Shidao岛的地点地图，并且太平天国的岛(在1946由中华民国的内部的部的领土的管理部门转存)，并且中华民国的管理区域地图在1948出版了，包围华南海岛的击破的线在华南代表瓷器海边界它是连接与的两个，和延期，中国的陆地边界。在当稳固的线被用来代表陆地boundarya时，击破的线被用来代表水边界的那时间，通用方法在然后国际性地被认出的地图使用了。上述观察在为在华南海区域上的国际海上的定界线是有用的华南海提供瓷器海边界的历史、科学的证据。

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简介：非洲S盆地是西非Iullemmeden盆地东南边缘的一部分，现有地质资料认为s盆地是一个向西南倾斜的单斜盆地、为初步查明该盆地的地质构造格架为评价盆地的含油气潜力提供依据，在s盆地展开了1：5万重磁调查。本文依据盆地的实测重力数据及已有地质资料，进行了数据处理与解释推断，在研究盆地不同深度空间的重力异常时发现，s盆地具有上下两层断裂系统：下层为一套控制盆地形成与发育的近南北向的基底断裂系统，是西非裂谷系一系列近南北向的地堑式盆地的组成部分；上层为一套有北东向与北西向断裂共同组成的盖层断裂系统（部分运动强烈的切入基底），这套断裂决定了盆地的最终形态并控制着油气流的运移通道和储存空间。

简介：BasedontheCMAtropicalcyclone(TC)besttrackdataaswellasthereanalysisdatasetsfromtheNCEP/NCARandNOAA,thevariationcharacteristicsofTCnumberfrom1949to2013overthewesternNorthPacific(includingtheSouthChinaSea)areexamined.Notably,thetimeseriesofTCnumberexhibitsasignificantabruptchangefrommoretolessaround1995.ComparativeanalysisindicatesthattheenvironmentalfactorsnecessarytoTCformationalsochangesignificantlyaroundthemid-1990s.After1995,accompanyingwithanomalouswarmseasurfacetemperature(SST)inwesternequatorialPacific,aLaNia-likepatternintropicalPacificappearsobviously.However,comparedwiththeperiodbefore1995,theverticalupwardmovementdecreases,verticalshearoftroposphericzonalwindincreases,andsealevelpressure(SLP)rises,allofwhichareunfavorabletoTCformationandworktogethertomakeTCnumberreducemarkedlyafter1995.Furthermore,whenthetypicalinterannualmoreandlessTCsyearsareselectedinthetwoseparatestagesbeforeandafter1995,therelativeimportanceofoceanicandatmosphericenvironmentsininterannualTCgenerationisalsoinvestigatedrespectively.TheresultsimplythattheSSToverthetropicalPacificexertsrelativelyimportantinfluenceonTCformationbefore1995whereastheatmosphericcirculationplaysamoreprominentroleinthegenerationofTCafter1995.

简介：Asthestrongestsubseasonalatmosphericvariabilityduringborealwinter,threeremarkablesuddenstratosphericmajorwarming(SSW)eventsinthe2000sareinvestigatedintermsoftheBrewer–Dobsoncirculation(BDC)response.Ourstudyshowsthatthechangesofcross-isentropicvelocityduringtheSSWsarenotonlyconfinedtothepolarregion,butalsoextendtothewholeNorthernHemisphere:enhanceddescentinthepolarregion,aswellasenhancedascentinthetropics.WhentheaccelerationofthedeepbranchoftheBDCdescendstothemiddlestratosphere,itsstrengthrapidlydecreasesoveraperiodofonetotwoweeks.TheaccelerationofthedeepbranchoftheBDCisdrivenbytheenhancedplanetarywaveactivityinthemid-to-high-latitudestratosphere.DifferentfromtherapidresponseofthedeepbranchoftheBDC,tropicalupwellinginthelowerstratosphereacceleratesupto20%–40%comparedwiththeclimatology,20–30daysaftertheonsetoftheSSWs,andtheaccelerationlastsforonetothreemonths.Theenhancementoftropicalupwellingisassociatedwiththelarge-scalewave-breakinginthesubtropicsinteractingwiththemidlatitudeandtropicalQuasi-BiennialOscillation–relatedmeanflow.

简介：用32，CMIP5(联合模型Intercomparison工程阶段5)当模特儿，这研究在为1850-2005的观察外部放射的强迫驾驶的历史的跑在云数量和他们的放射的效果(CRE)的模拟检验诚实，并且他们的未来在4.5情形竞选的RCP(代表性的集中小径)改变2006-2100。为历史的跑的确认度量标准被设计为climatological在空间模式的表示检验精确性吝啬、年度并且云和CRE的interannual变化。模型在云数量的模拟显示出大传播，明确地在低云总计。大规模环境也是的在云数量并且控制之间的观察关系由各种各样的模型不同地复制了。基于作为四个模型的最好的模型，和一般水准选择的确认度量标准，四modelsACCESS1.0，ACCESS1.3，HadGEM2-CC，和HadGEM2-ESare比multimodel整体一般水准更熟练地表现。模型投射全球平均数的SST在温室气体的增加温暖的所有，而是大小越过在1和2K之间的模拟变化，它对在云数量和分发的变化的差别大部分可归因。模仿温暖的更多的SST的模型由于减少的低云和增加的到来的短波放射在网CRE显示出更大的增加，特别地在在画热带的海洋的边界层的区域上。选择最好执行的模型在大约0.99%K1的全球平均数的云数量投射重要减小并且捕捞建议积极反馈的一个角色到全球温暖的0.46Wm2K1,的放射的温暖。

简介：Thetemperaturebiasesof28CMIP5AGCMsareevaluatedovertheTibetanPlateau（TP）fortheperiod1979–2005.TheresultsdemonstratethatthemajorityofCMIP5modelsunderestimateannualandseasonalmeansurface2-mairtemperatures(Tas)overtheTP.Inaddition,theensembleofthe28AGCMsandhalfoftheindividualmodelsunderestimateannualmeanskintemperatures（Ts）overtheTP.ThecoldbiasesarelargerinTasthaninTs,andarelargeroverthewesternTP.BydecomposingtheTsbiasusingthesurfaceenergybudgetequation,weinvestigatethecontributionstothecoldsurfacetemperaturebiasontheTPfromvariousfactors,includingthesurfacealbedo-inducedbias,surfacecloudradiativeforcing,clear-skyshortwaveradiation,clear-skydownwardlongwaveradiation,surfacesensibleheatflux,latentheatflux,andheatstorage.Theresultsshowasuiteofphysicallyinterlinkedprocessescontributingtothecoldsurfacetemperaturebias.Strongnegativesurfacealbedo-inducedbiasassociatedwithexcessivesnowcoverandthesurfaceheatfluxesarehighlyanticorrelated,andthecancellingoutofthesetwotermsleadstoarelativelyweakcontributiontothecoldbias.Smallersurfaceturbulentfluxesleadtocolderlower-tropospherictemperatureandlowerwatervaporcontent,whichinturncausenegativeclear-skydownwardlongwaveradiationandcoldbias.Theresultssuggestthatimprovementsintheparameterizationoftheareaofsnowcover,aswellastheboundarylayer,andhencesurfaceturbulentfluxes,mayhelptoreducethecoldbiasovertheTPinthemodels.

简介：Usingstatisticallydownscaledatmosphericforcing,weperformedanumericalinvestigationtoevaluatefutureclimate’simpactonstormsurgesalongtheGulfofMexicoandU.S.eastcoast.Thefocusisontheimpactofclimaticchangesinwindpatternandsurfacepressurewhileneglectingsealevelriseandotherfactors.Weadaptedtheregionaloceanmodelsystem(ROMS)tothestudyregionwithameshgridsizeof7-10kminhorizontaland18verticallayers.Themodelwasvalidatedbyahindcastofthecoastalsealevelsinthewinterof2008.Model’srobustnesswasconfirmedbythegoodagreementbetweenmodel-simulatedandobservedsealevelsat37tidalgages.Two10-yearforecasts,onefortheIPCCPre-Industry(PI)andtheotherfortheA1FIscenario,wereconducted.Thedifferencesinmodel-simulatedsurgeheightsunderthetwoclimatescenarioswereanalyzed.Weidentifiedthreetypesofresponsesinextremesurgeheightstofutureclimate:acleardecreaseinMiddleAtlanticBight,anincreaseinthewesternGulfofMexico,andnon-significantresponsefortheremainingarea.Suchspatialpatternisalsoconsistentwithpreviousprojectionsofseasurfacewindsandoceanwaveheights.

简介：ThisstudyproposesaGreen’sfunction,anessentialrepresentationofwater-saturatedgroundundermovingexcitation,tosimulategroundbornevibrationfromtrains.First,generalsolutionstothegoverningequationsofporoelasticmediumarederivedbymeansofintegraltransform.Secondly,thetransmissionandreflectionmatrixapproachisusedtoformulatetherelationshipbetweendisplacementandstressofthestratifiedground,whichresultsinthematrixoftheGreen’sfunction.ThentheGreen’sfunctioniscombinedintoatrain-track-groundmodel,andisverifiedbytypicalexamplesandafieldtest.Additionalsimulationsshowthatthecomputedgroundvibrationattenuatesfasterintheimmediatevicinityofthetrackthaninthesurroundingarea.Thewavelengthofwheel-railunevennesshasanotableeffectoncomputeddisplacementandporepressure.Thevariationofvibrationintensitywiththedepthofgroundissignificantlyinfluencedbythelayeringofthestratasoil.WhenthetrainspeedisequaltothevelocityoftheRayleighwave,theMachconeappearsinthesimulatedwavefield.TheproposedGreen’sfunctionisanappropriaterepresentationforalayeredgroundwithshallowgroundwatertable,andwillbehelpfultounderstandthedynamicresponsesofthegroundtocomplicatedmovingexcitation.

简介：ObjectiveThenearlyparallelN–S-trendingriftsinsouthernTibetrepresenttheE–WextensionoftheTibetPlateau.MostdatawhichconstrainedtheageoftheextensionaldeformationcomefromisotopicdatingofthedikesprobablyrelatedtotheactivityofthenearlyN–Sfaultingandmicasfromhydrothermalactivityandthelowtemperaturethermochronologyofplateauuplift.Previous

简介：TheprojectionofChina'snear-andlong-termfutureclimateisrevisitedwithanew-generationstatisticallydownscaleddataset,NEX-GDDP(NASAEarthExchangeGlobalDailyDownscaledProjections).Thisdatasetpresentsahigh-resolutionseamlessclimateprojectionfrom1950to2100bycombiningobservationsandGCMresults,andremarkablyimprovesCMIP5hindcastsandprojectionsfromlargescaletoregional-to-localscaleswithanunchangedlong-termtrend.Threeaspectsaresignificantlyimproved:(1)theclimatologyinthepastascomparedagainsttheobservations;(2)morereliablenear-andlong-termprojections,withamodifiedrangeofabsolutevalueandreducedinter-modelspreadascomparedtoCMIP5GCMs;and(3)muchaddedvalueatregional-to-localscalescomparedtoGCMoutputs.NEX-GDDPhasgreatpotentialtobecomeawidely-usedhigh-resolutiondatasetandabenchmarkofmodernclimatechangefordiverseearthsciencecommunities.

简介：文章选取内蒙古阿拉善右旗作为分析对象,利用中尺度数值模式MM5来模拟2007年1月1日—12月31日的风速（每小时）,然后利用统计学方法模拟该地区每天24h的风速,求出日平均风速,再与其附近地区台站实测数据进行比较,从而评估得出该模式的模拟效果：2007年全年的模拟和实测平均风速总体相对误差为34.02%,其中以3—9月份模拟效果最佳,相对误差率最大不超过15%,绝对误差都在0.5m·s~（-1）内。

简介：TightzonesofthegasbearingKanganandDalanformationsoftheSouthParsgasfieldcontainaconsiderableamountofunsweptgasduetotheirlowporosity,lowpermeabilityandisolatedporetypes.Thecurrentstudy,integratescoredata,rockelasticpropertiesand3Dseismicattributestodelineatetightandlow-reservoir-qualityzonesoftheSouthParsgasfield.Inthefirststep,thedynamicreservoirgeomechanicalparameterswerecalculatedbasedonempiricalrelationshipsfromwelllogdata.Thelog-derivedelasticmoduliwerevalidatedwiththeavailablelaboratorymeasurementsofcoredata.CrossplotsbetweenestimatedporosityandelasticparametersbasedonYoung'smodulusindicatethatlowporosityzonecoincidewithhighvaluesofYoung'smodule.Theresultswerevalidatedwithpetrographicstudiesoftheavailablethinsections.Thecoresampleswithlowporosityandpermeabilityarecorrelatedwithstrongrockswithtightmatrixframeworksandhighelasticvalues.Subsequently,rockelasticpropertiesincludingYoung'smodulusandPoisson'sratioalongwithporositywereestimatedbyusingneuralnetworksfromacollectionof3Dpost-stackseismicattributes,suchasacousticimpedance(AI),instantaneousphaseofAIandapparentpolarity.Distinguishinglowreservoirqualityareasinpayzoneswithunsweptgasisthenfacilitatedbylocatinglowporosityandhighelasticmodulusvalues.Anhydritezonesareidentifiedandeliminatedasnon-payzonesduetotheircharacterizationofzeroporosityandhighYoungmodulusvalues.Themethodologydescribedhasapplicationsforunconventionalreservoirsmoregenerally,becauseitisabletodistinguishlowporosityandpermeabilityzonesthatarepotentiallyproductivefromthoseunprospectivezoneswithnegligiblereservoirquality.