简介:Stabilityparameters(Monin-ObukhovlengthL,gradientRichardsonnumberRiandbulkRischardsonnumberRi),whichareapplicableinurbanenvironment,werediscussedforwaysofcalculatingclassificationstandards.Gradientobservationsfroma325-mmeteorologicaltowerinBeijingareusedtocategorizeRibbasedonthreedifferentstandardsofstabilityproposedbyD.Golder,IrwinandHoughton.TheresultsshowthatitisrelativelyreasonablefortheregionofBeijingtoapplytheclassificationstandardbyIrwin.
简介:Anobjectiveanalysisoftropicalcyclonetracksisperformed,withwhichthetracksof131tropicalstorms(TSs)in1972-2011areseparatedintothreetypesthatmovewest-,north-andnorthwestward,denotedasTypesA,BandC,respectively.TypeA(21TSsand16%oftotal)hastheorigininthesouthwesternBayofBengal,withtheTSinaunimodaldistributionasitsseasonalfeature,occurringmainlyinautumn;18ofthe21TSs(takingup90%)landmostlyonthewesternBaycoast(westof85°E);5%ofType-ATSsattainsthewindspeedof>42.7to48.9m/s.TypeAhaslittleornoeffectonTibet.TypeB(74TSs,56.6%ofthetotal)hasitspreferableorigininthecentralBayofBengal,withtheTSinabimodaldistributionasitsseasonalpattern.Thistypedenotesthetravelinthenorthinspring,withthelandfallof67ofthe74TSs(accountingfor91%)mainlyonthemiddlecoastoftheBay(85°to95°E),and19%oftheTSsreachingthewindvelocityof>42.7to48.9m/s,whichexertgreateffectonTibetanditisthisTStrackthatgivesstrongprecipitationonitswaythroughthisregion.TypeC(36TSs,27.5%ofthetotal)hasitsmainorigininthesouthernpartofthebay,andtheseTSsareformedlargelyinautumn,movinginthenorthwestdirection,and23ofthe36TSs(64%)landmostlyonthewesternBaycoast,lastingforalongertime,withalmostnoimpactuponTibet.
简介:在这研究,Jenkinson和Collison(1977)基于兰姆(1950)的一个打字计划开发的分类计划被使用在一个每月的基础上从吝啬的海平面的压力获得发行量类型。从1951~2002的每月吝啬的海平面的压力数据被用来导出六个发行量索引并且向一个发行量目录提供27种发行量类型。最经常发生了的五种主要类型(N,NW,C,CSW,和SW)被分析在各种各样的时间规模上与哈尔滨的温度揭示他们的关系。逐步的多重回归被用来重建温度异例。发生的所有类型和三个学生的合成地图的每月吝啬的降雨打字(C,CSW,和SW)与哈尔滨的降水相关被学习。结果证明在冬季的主导的类型是类型N和NW。类型C,CSW,和SW在夏天经常发生。类型N和NW赞成一个否定温度异例并且当类型C,CSW,和SW经常导致一个积极温度异例并且对应于更多的降雨时,对应于更少的降雨。而且,一个成功的统计模型能被建立与仅仅,六之一索引并且大规模吝啬的温度。用模型,在在1951和2002之间的温度异例的77.3%全部的变化能被重建。类型C与全部的降雨有一种靠近的关系,类型C降水在在最近的年里决定哈尔滨的全部的降雨起一个主要作用。这个分类计划是有温度的一个统计downscaling模型和它的关系,降水能被用来预报地区性的气候。[出版摘要]
简介:BasedontheJointTyphoonWarningCenter(JTWC)best-trackdatasetbetween1965and2009andthecharacteristicparametersincludingtropicalcyclone(TC)position,intensity,pathlengthanddirection,amethodforobjectiveclassificationoftheNorthwesternPacifictropicalcyclonetracksisestablishedbyusingk-meansClustering.TheTClifespan,energy,activeseasonandlandfallprobabilityofsevenclustersoftropicalcyclonetracksarecomparativelyanalyzed.Thecharacteristicsoftheseparametersarequitedifferentamongdifferenttropicalcyclonetrackclusters.Fromthetrendofthepasttwodecades,thefrequencyofthewesternrecurvingcluster(accountingfor21.3%ofthetotal)increased,andthelifespanelongatedslightly,whichdiffersfromtheotherclusters.TheannualvariationofthePowerDissipationIndex(PDI)ofmostclustersmainlydependedontheTCintensityandfrequency.However,theannualvariationofthePDIinthenorthwesternmovingthenrecurvingclusterandthepelagicwest-northwestmovingclustermainlydependedonthefrequency.
简介:Basedonthetropicalcyclone(TC)observationsinthewesternNorthPacificfrom2000to2008,thispaperadoptstheparticleswarmoptimization(PSO)algorithmofevolutionarycomputationtooptimizeonecomprehensiveclassificationrule,andapplytheoptimizedclassificationruletotheforecastingofTCintensitychange.Intheprocessoftheoptimization,thestrategyofhierarchicalpruninghasbeenadoptedinthePSOalgorithmtonarrowthesearcharea,andthustoenhancethelocalsearchability,i.e.hierarchicalPSOalgorithm.TheTCintensityclassificationruleinvolvescoreattributesincluding12-HMWS,MPI,andRainratewhichplayvitalrolesinTCintensitychange.ThetestingaccuracyusingthenewminedrulebyhierarchicalPSOalgorithmreaches89.6%.ThecurrentstudyshowsthatthenovelclassificationmethodforTCintensitychangeanalysisbasedonhierarchicPSOalgorithmisnotonlyeasytoexplainthesourceofrulecoreattributes,butalsohasgreatpotentialtoimprovetheforecastingofTCintensitychange.
简介:ThisstudyinvestigatesclassificationanddiurnalvariationsoftheprecipitationechoesoverthecentralTibetanPlateaubasedontheobservationscollectedfromaC-bandvertically-pointingfrequency-modulatedcontinuous-wave(C-FMCW)radarduringtheThirdTibetanPlateauAtmosphericScientificExperiment(TIPEX-Ⅲ)2014-IntensiveObservationPeriod(2014-IOP).Theresultsshowthat51.32%oftheverticalprofileshavevalidechoeswithreflectivity>-10dBZ,and35.06%ofthevalidechoprofilesproduceprecipitationattheground(precipitationprofiles);stratiformprecipitationwithanevidentbright-bandsignature,weakconvectiveprecipitation,andstrongconvectiveprecipitationaccountfor52.03%,42.98%,and4.99%oftheprecipitationprofiles,respectively.About59.84%oftheprecipitationoccursintheafternoontomidnight,while40.16%oftheprecipitationwithweakerintensityisobservedinthenocturnalhoursandinthemorning.Diurnalvariationofoccurrencefrequencyofprecipitationshowsamajorpeakduring2100-2200LST(localsolartime)with59.02%beingthestratiformprecipitation;thesecondarypeakappearsduring1300-1400LSTwith59.71%beingtheweakconvectiveprecipitation;thestrongconvectiveprecipitationoccursmostly(81.83%)intheafternoonandeveningwithtwopeaksover1200-1300and1700-1800LST,respectively.Startingfromapproximately1100LST,precipitationechoesdevelopwithenhancedverticalairmotion,elevatedechotop,andincreasingradarreflectivity.Intenseupwardairmotionoccursmostfrequentlyin1700-1800LSTwithasecondarypeakin1100-1400LST,whilethetopsofprecipitationechoesandintenseupwardairmotionreachtheirhighestlevelsduring1600-1800LST.Theatmosphericconditionsintheearlymorningaredisadvantageousforconvectiveinitiationanddevelopment.Aroundnoon,theconvectiveavailablepotentialenergy(CAPE)increasesmarkedly,convectiveinhibition(CIN)isgenerallysmall,andasuper-dry-adiabaticlayerispresentnear