简介:Sandydesertificationislanddegradationcharacterizedbywinderosionmainlyresultedfromtheexcessivehumanactivitiesinarid,semiaridandpartofsub-humidregionsinnorthernChina.Theresearchonsandydesertificationhasexperiencedmorethan5decadesofarduouscourseofthestrugglealongwiththeestablishmentanddevelopmentofChina′sdesertscience.Researchesinthisfieldhavemadeagreatcontributiontothenationaleconomicconstruction,andenvironmentalprotection.Thispaperfocusesonpresentingthemajorprogressandachievementsinthesandydesertificationresearchduringthelast50years,includingthestagesofstudyonsandydesertification,backgroundenvironmentofsandydesertificationanditschanges,theconception,causes,process,monitoringandassessmentofsandydesertification,thevegetationsuccession,landscapeecology,plantphysiology,impactsonecosystem,high-effectiveuseofwaterandlandresourcesandsustainabledevelopmentinsandydesertifiedregions,sandydesertificationcontrolmodelsandtechniquesetc.
简介:本文利用兰州1944~1997年的月平均降水资料,建立了线性平稳序列的降水预测模型,该模型使用了功谱密度函数中的最大熵法(或叫全极模型),并将特征多项式模大于1的根反射到单位圆内,再返回修正后的线性预测的系数。并对1986~1997年11年的月降水做了预测试验,试验结果表明,该模型具有一定的预报能力,其中取15阶预报效果较好。此方法在短期气候预测业务中,可作为台站月、季、年降水预测走向客观化、定量化方法的一种初步尝试