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17 个结果
  • 简介:这篇论文论述一个模型在限制顺序书描述动态做贸易过程。由与时间和限制顺序书的深度学习限制订单的实行可能性的动态模式,作者与下列性质得出结论:市场的到达率作为深度买订单增加作为深度在书增加和减少买队列卖队列增加,并且反过来也如此;为市场的到达率的类似的整齐卖订单;两市场的到达率买顺序和市场以一样的数量在书增加作为双方的深度卖订单增加。而且,作者在订单的到达率上描述暂时的详细说明的更多和市场深度的永久效果。

  • 标签: 到达率 市场 订单 永久性 临时性 队列
  • 简介:为随机的系统的噪音顺序的加权的和的顺序被在概率使用限制理论估计。然后,鞅差别顺序的噪音驾驶的不稳定的ARsystem的状态的分叉率被建立。

  • 标签: AR系统 不稳定性 微分序列 分歧率 随机系统
  • 简介:Inthispaper,aKELM-basedensemblelearningapproach,integratingGrangercausalitytest,greyrelationalanalysisandKELM(KernelExtremeLearningMachine),isproposedfortheexchangerateforecasting.Thestudyusesasetofsixteenmacroeconomicvariablesincluding,import,export,foreignexchangereserves,etc.Furthermore,theselectedvariablesarerankedandthenthreeofthem,whichhavethehighestdegreesofrelevancewiththeexchangerate,arefilteredoutbyGrangercausalitytestandthegreyrelationalanalysis,torepresentthedomesticsituation.Then,basedonthedomesticsituation,KELMisutilizedformedium-termRMB/USDforecasting.TheempiricalresultsshowthattheproposedKELM-basedensemblelearningapproachoutperformsallotherbenchmarkmodelsindifferentforecastinghorizons,whichimpliesthattheKELM-basedensemblelearningapproachisapowerfullearningapproachforexchangeratesforecasting.

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  • 简介:Artificialneuralnetworks(ANNs)havebeenwidelyusedasapromisingalternativeapproachforforecasttaskbecauseoftheirseveraldistinguishingfeatures.Inthispaper,weinvestigatetheeffectofdifferentsamplingintervalsonpredictiveperformanceofANNsinforecastingexchangeratetimeseries.Itisshownthatselectionofanappropriatesamplingintervalwouldpermittheneuralnetworktomodeladequatelythefinancialtimeseries.Tooshortortoolongasamplingintervaldoesnotprovidegoodforecastingaccuracy.Inaddition,wediscusstheeffectofforecastinghorizonsandinputnodesonthepredictionperformanceofneuralnetworks.

  • 标签: 神经网络 经验分析 抽样间隔 汇率 预测 金融研究
  • 简介:Thispaperstudiesadynamicmean-varianceportfolioselectionproblemwithrandomliabilityintheaffineinterestrateenvironment,wherethefinancialmarketconsistsofthreeassets:onerisk-freeasset,oneriskyassetandonezero-couponbond.AssumethatshortrateisdrivenbyaffineinterestratemodelandliabilityprocessisdescribedbythedriftedBrownianmotion,inaddition,stockpricedynamicsisaffectedbyinterestratedynamics.Theinvestorsexpecttolookforanoptimalstrategytominimizethevarianceoftheterminalsurplusforagivenexpectedterminalsurplus.TheefficientstrategyandtheefficientfrontierareexplicitlyobtainedbyapplyingdynamicprogrammingprincipleandLagrangedualitytheorem.Anumericalexampleisgiventoillustrateourresultsandsomeeconomicimplicationsareanalyzed.

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  • 简介:这份报纸建议一个间隔方法对美元和金价格探索在澳大利亚的美元的汇率之间的关系,用每周、每月、季度的数据。与间隔方法,间隔样品数据被形成介绍变量的轻快。ILS途径被扩大到多模型评价,计算计划被提供。实验证据建议ILS估计很好描绘汇率怎么联系到金价格,两个在长期间并且短期。在间隔和点方法之间的比较显示OLS和ILS估计之间的差别从每周的数据正在增加到季度的数据,自从最低频率点数据失去了轻快的大多数信息。

  • 标签: 区间方法 黄金价格 汇率 美元 LS估计 多模型估计
  • 简介:Adual-ratepreviewcontrolstrategyforatypeofdiscrete-timesystemisproposedbasedonthetheoryofmultiratecontrol.First,byusingthediscreteliftingtechnique,thegeneraldual-ratediscrete-timesystemisconvertedintoasingle-rateaugmentedsystem.Onthisbasis,theaugmentederrorsystemisconstructedbyintroducingafirst-orderdifferenceoperatorandthepreviewablereferencesignal.Thenthetrackingproblemistransformedintoaregulatorproblemoftheaugmentederrorsystem.Theoptimalpreviewcontrollawoftheaugmentederrorsystemisobtainedbyusingstandardlinearquadraticoptimalpreviewcontroltheory,andthentheoptimalpreviewcontrolleroftheoriginalsystemisderived.Inaddition,thenecessaryandsufficientconditionsforthecontrolleraregiven.Finally,simulationresultsshowtheeffectivenessoftheproposedmethod.

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  • 简介:Fromtheviewpointofservicelevelagreements,thetransmissionaccuracyrateisoneofcriticalperformanceindicatorstoassessinternetqualityforsystemmanagersandcustomers.Undertheassumptionthateacharc'scapacityisdeterministic,thequickestpathproblemistofindapathsendingaspecificofdatasuchthatthetransmissiontimeisminimized.However,inmanyreal-lifenetworkssuchascomputernetworks,eacharchasstochasticcapacity,leadtimeandaccuracyrate.Suchanetworkisnamedamulti-statecomputernetwork.Underbothassuredaccuracyrateandtimeconstraints,weextendthequickestpathproblemtocomputetheprobabilitythatdunitsofdatacanbesentthroughmultipleminimalpathssimultaneously.Suchaprobabilitynamedsystemreliabilityisaperformanceindicatortoprovidetomanagersforunderstandingtheabilityofsystemandimprovement.Anefficientalgorithmisproposedtoevaluatethesystemreliabilityintermsoftheapproachofminimalpaths.

  • 标签: 系统可靠性 服务水平协议 电脑网络 准确率 多状态 计算机网络
  • 简介:Thispaperdealswithadiscrete-timeGeo/Geo/1queueingsystemwithworkingbreakdownsinwhichcustomersarriveatthesysteminvariableinputratesaccordingtothestatesoftheserver.Theservermaybesubjecttobreakdownsatrandomwhenitisinoperation.Assoonastheserverfails,arepairprocessimmediatelybegins.Duringtherepairperiod,thedefectiveserverstillprovidesserviceforthewaitingcustomersatalowerservicerateratherthancompletelystoppingservice.Weanalyzethestabilityconditionfortheconsideredsystem.Usingtheprobabilitygeneratingfunctiontechnique,weobtaintheprobabilitygeneratingfunctionofthesteady-statequeuesizedistribution.Also,variousimportantperformancemeasuresarederivedexplicitly.Furthermore,somenumericalresultsareprovidedtocarryoutthesensitivityanalysissoastoillustratetheeffectofdifferentparametersonthesystemperformancemeasures.Finally,anoperatingcostfunctionisformulatedtomodelacomputersystemandtheparabolicmethodisemployedtonumericallyfindtheoptimumservicerateinworkingbreakdownperiod.

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