简介:China’sstockmarkethasexperiencedmorethan20yearsofdevelopment.Despitetheconceptofvalueinvestmenthasalreadybeenreflectedinstockinvestment,manyinvestors,especiallysmallandmediuminvestors,stilldonotpaymuchattentiontovalueinvestment.Blindnessandspeculativethinkingstillaffectinvestment.Thispaperchoosesthebankingindustryastheanalysisobjectandusestherelativevaluationapproachtoevaluatetheprice-earningsratio(P/Eratio),price-to-bookvalueratio(P/Bratio),andprice-earningstogrowth(PEG)ofthe10listedbanks,thenjudgestheinvestmentvalueofeachbankandfocusesonthevaluationandpricingofthebankingwithrapidgrowth.Basedonthis,thechoiceofvalueinvestmentdecisionsismade,tryingtoprovideademonstrationforinvestorstomakevalueinvestmentdecisions.Finally,itisrecommendedtoinvestinChinaMerchantsBank(CMB),MinshengBank,ShanghaiPudongDevelopmentBank(SPDB),IndustrialandCommercialBankofChina(ICBC),HSBCBank,andBankofChina.ItisnotrecommendedtoinvestinPingAnBank,BankofCommunications,IndustrialBank,andChinaCITICBank.
简介:TheZimbabweanfinancialsectorhasbeenretrogressive,constrained,andunpredictablesincetheyear2000,servingforthemultiplecurrencyperiods(2009-2013)afterthedemonetizationofthedomesticdollar.ThesectorsincethenhasseenanumberofcommercialbanksfailtomeetRBZ(ReserveBankofZimbabwe)minimumcapitalrequirements,putundercuratorship,delistedorliquidatedbecauseofamyriadofoperationalandfinancialchallenges.Theobjectiveofthisstudyistomakeanassessmentofwhetherornottheintroductionofbondnoteshasbeenacurseorblessing.Thestudydrewrawdatafrombankaccountholders,academics,generalpublic,corporateworldandcommercialbanksinMasvingoforanalysisandinterpretation.Thestudyestablishedthatthemajorityofpeople,corporateworldandcommercialbankswerescepticaltoembracethesurrogatebondnotesbecauseoftheuncertainties,operationalandfinancialrisksthattheypausedonthedomesticfinancialmarkets.Itwasalsodiscoveredthatmostbankswerequicktopayclients’withdrawalsinbondnotes,deductUSdollarequivalencesfromtheiraccounts,anddistinguishbondnotesfromUSdollarsatthepointofmakingdepositsandforeignbusinesstransactions.ItwasalsorealizedthattherewasmarketindisciplineandtradinginbiggerUSdollarnotesintheinformalsectorandseriousshortageofthesamenotesintheformalsector.ThestudyconcludedthattheintroductionofbondnotestotradeparalleltotheUSdollarbroughtaseriousshortageofcashonformalmarketsandincreasesinthegeneralpricelevelofgoodsandservices.ThestudythereforerecommendsthattheRBZshouldcompletelywithdrawthebondnotesfromthemarkettoaccordtheUSdollaritsworldmarketvalueandrestoreconfidenceanddisciplineintheZimbabweanfinancialsector.ThestudyalsorecommendsanotheroptionoftheadoptionoftheSouthAfricanRandasaninterventionistwayofsolvingZimbabwe’sliquiditycrises.
简介:ByusingGARCHandEGARCHmodels,theauthorsexaminetherelationshipbetweenpricevolatilityandnewinformationflow,representedbytradingvolume,andpastinformationflow,representedbytheARCHeffect,intheShanghaiStockMarketforthethreedifferentperiodsfromJuly1998toDecember2002:thesoftperiod,thebullperiod,andthebearperiod.Theempiricalresultsshowthat:(1)thereexistsa'leverageeffect'inthestockmarket;thatis,negativenewshadagreaterimpactonstockpricevolatilitythandidpositivenewsinthesoftperiodandbearperiod,butinthebullperiodthe'leverageeffect'behavesdifferently;(2)thereisasignificantlypositiverelationshipbetweentradingvolumeandstockpricevolatility,andsucharelationshipisevenmoresignificantinthebearperiod;(3)itturnsoutthatinthethreeperiods,therelationshipsbetweenstockpricevolatilityandinformationflow,bothpastandnew,arenotthesame;thatis,inboththesoftandbullperiods,boththeARCHeffect,reflecting'pastinformationflow',andtradingvolume,reflecting'newinformationflow',explainpricevolatilitysimultaneously,butinthebearperiod,theARCHeffectissubstantiallyreduced.Thesefindingsprovidekeyevidenceforunderstanding,explaining,andtrackingthecharacteristicsofpricevolatilityandthechangingrulesofthestockmarketinChinamorecomprehensively.