简介:以厦门国际航运中心为对象,从共生理论的视角探讨了航运服务要素集聚的内涵、特征和现状,研究了航运服务要素集聚的共生关系,建立了航运服务要素集聚共生系统的Lotka-Volterra模型,分析了航运服务要素集聚发展的共生模式和共生效应.分析结果表明,厦门航运服务要素集聚表现为偏利共生和非对称性互惠共生,共生单元发展不协调、不平衡,需加快改善共生环境、优化共生单元,积极引导高端航运服务要素集聚共生,促进航运服务要素向对称性互惠共生和一体化共生关系发展,进而提高厦门国际航运中心的综合竞争力.
简介:Inordertominimizetheharmcausedbytheinstabilityofaplaningcraft,amotionpredictionmodelisessential.ThispaperanalyzedthefeasibilityofusinganMGM(1,N)modelingreysystemtheorytopredictplaningcraftmotionandcarriedoutthenumericalsimulationexperiment.Accordingtothecharacteristicsofplaningcraftmotion,arecurrenceformulawasproposedoftheparametermatrixofanMGM(1,N)model.Usingthisformula,datacanbeupdatedinreal-timewithoutincreasingcomputationalcomplexitysignificantly.TheresultsofnumericalsimulationshowthatusinganMGM(1,N)modeltopredictplaningmotionisfeasibleandusefulforprediction.Sothemethodproposedinthisstudycanreflecttheplaningcraftmotionmechanismsuccessfully,andhasrationalandeffectivefunctionsofforecastingandanalyzingtrends.