基于多成分过程模拟的北极近岸综合体作业研究

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2018-04-14
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WedevelopedadetailedsimulationmodeloftheArcticmarinetransportsystem(MTS)foroilplatformPrirazlomnaya.Themodelhasamultidisciplinarynatureandinvolves:sub-modelsofvarioustransportandtechnologicalprocesses;stochasticweathergeneratortoobtaintimeseriesof15environmentalparameters;andcontextualplanningalgorithmtobuildvoyageplanconsideringseveraltypesofshipsandcargoes.Weusedasignificantamountofrealoperationaldatatoidentifymodelparametersandtoproveitsstatisticalreliability.Ourmainscientifictaskistoinvestigatetheinteractionofvariousprocessesofadifferentnature,whilethepracticalaimistofindasetofmeasurestoincreasetheefficiencyofMTS.Theresultsofthestudyrevealmanyexamplesofthemutualinteractionofvariousprocessesthatneedtobeconsideredatthedesignstagetoavoidtechnicalmistakes.ThestudyformedabasisformakingmanagerialdecisionsatthetoplevelofGazpromNeftShelfCompany.