Remarkable Link between Projected Uncertainties of Arctic Sea-Ice Decline and Winter Eurasian Climate

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摘要 Weidentifythattheprojecteduncertaintyofthepan-Arcticsea-iceconcentration(SIC)isstronglycoupledwiththeEurasiancirculationintheborealwinter(December-March;DJFM),basedonasingularvaluedecomposition(SVD)analysisoftheforcedresponseof11CMIP5models.Inthemodelsshowingastrongersea-icedecline,thePolarcellbecomesweakerandthereisananomalousincreaseinthesealevelpressure(SLP)along60°N,includingtheUrals-SiberiaregionandtheIcelandlowregion.ThereisanaccompanyingweakeningofboththemidlatitudewesterlywindsandtheFerrellcell,wheretheSVDsignalsarealsorelatedtoanomalousseasurfacetemperaturewarminginthemidlatitudeNorthAtlantic.IntheMediterraneanregion,theanomalouscirculationresponseshowsadecreasingSLPandincreasingprecipitation.TheanomalousSLPresponsesovertheEuro-AtlanticregionprojectontothenegativeNorthAtlanticOscillation-likepattern.Altogether,pan-ArcticSICdeclinecouldstronglyimpactthewinterEurasianclimate,butweshouldbecautiousaboutthecausalityoftheirlinkage.
机构地区 不详
出版日期 2018年01月11日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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