摘要
Weidentifythattheprojecteduncertaintyofthepan-Arcticsea-iceconcentration(SIC)isstronglycoupledwiththeEurasiancirculationintheborealwinter(December-March;DJFM),basedonasingularvaluedecomposition(SVD)analysisoftheforcedresponseof11CMIP5models.Inthemodelsshowingastrongersea-icedecline,thePolarcellbecomesweakerandthereisananomalousincreaseinthesealevelpressure(SLP)along60°N,includingtheUrals-SiberiaregionandtheIcelandlowregion.ThereisanaccompanyingweakeningofboththemidlatitudewesterlywindsandtheFerrellcell,wheretheSVDsignalsarealsorelatedtoanomalousseasurfacetemperaturewarminginthemidlatitudeNorthAtlantic.IntheMediterraneanregion,theanomalouscirculationresponseshowsadecreasingSLPandincreasingprecipitation.TheanomalousSLPresponsesovertheEuro-AtlanticregionprojectontothenegativeNorthAtlanticOscillation-likepattern.Altogether,pan-ArcticSICdeclinecouldstronglyimpactthewinterEurasianclimate,butweshouldbecautiousaboutthecausalityoftheirlinkage.
出版日期
2018年01月11日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)