简介:Currentdesigncriteriaandprinciplesofearthquakeengineeringdesignarereviewed,includingsafetyfactors,probabilisticapproach,andtwo-levelandmulti-levelfunctionaldesignideas.Themodernmulti-functionalideaisdiscussedingreaterdetails.Whendesigningastructure,itsresistancetoandtheintensityoftheearthquakeactionareconsidered.Theconsequenceoffailureofthestructureisconsideredonlythrougharoughandempiricalfactorofimportance,rangingusuallyfrom1.0to1.5.Thispapersuggestsamethodof'consequence-baseddesign,'whichconsiderstheconsequencesofmalfunctioninginsteadofsimplyanimportancefactor.Themainargumentforthismethodisthatdamagetoastructurelocatedindifferenttypesofsocietiesmayhaveverydifferentconsequences,whicharedependantonitsvalueandusefulnesstothesocietyandtheseismicityintheregion.
简介:Usingequivalentblackbodytemperature(TBB)dataretrievedfrommeteorologicalsatelliteGMS-5during1996-2002,thecorrelationbetweenthecircularsymmetric/asymmetriccomponentofTBBandtheintensityoftropicalcyclone(TC)atvarioustimelagsfrom0to48hisanalyzedfortheNorthwestPacific(0°-50°N,120°-155°E),excludinglandedandnear-coastsamples.ItisfoundthatthetotalTBBnearsoutheastoftheeyewall,thecircularsymmetriccomponent,andthesumoftheamplitudesoftangentialwavenumbers1-10(SA10)oftheTBBbetweentheradiiof0.8°and1.7°aresignificantlyandnegativelycorrelatedwiththeTCintensityatvarioustimelagsfrom0to48h.Especially,themaximum24-hlagcorrelationcoefficientsreach-0.52,-0.58,and-0.625,respectively.AstatisticalpredictionschemeforTCintensityisdevelopedbasedonclimaticpersistent,synoptic,andTBBfactorsbystepwiseregressiontechnique.ItisfoundthatthevariancecontributionoftheaveragedTBBovertheringbetween1.0°and1.5°fromtheTCcenterranksthefourthintheequationfor12-hTCintensityprediction,andthoseofthetotalTBBnearsoutheastoftheeyewallandthedifferencebetweenmaximumandminimumTBBbetween1.1°and1.5°rankthethirdandfifthrespectivelyinthe24-hforecastequation.Itisalsoshownthat,withTBBfactors,thefollowingpredictionsareimprovedcomparedtotheschemewithoutTBBfactors:48-hpredictionforseveretropicalstorm(STS),12-hpredictionforTCwithaweakeningrategreaterthan15ms~(-1)/12h,24-hintensitypredictionforTCwithalmostnointensitychange,and48-hpredictionforTCintensifyingfasterthan10ms~(-1)/48h.
简介:Manyglobalemissionreductionstrategieshavebeenproposed,butfewhavebeenassessedquantitativelyfromtheviewofequality,efficiencyandeffectiveness.Integratedassessmentmodels(IAM)isoneoftheeffectivewaystomakeclimatepolicymodeling.SointhispaperwedevelopedtheMRICES(Multi-regionalintegratedmodelofclimateandeconomywithGDPspillovers)model,whichisanIAMbutextendstoincludeGDPspillovermechanism,tomakeassessmentonseveralstrategiesforglobalemissionreduction,includingtheegalitarianismstrategy,theUNDPstrategyandtheCopenhagenAccord.Using1990asabaselineforhistoricalemissionlevels,theegalitarianstrategyarguesthatdevelopedcountriesshouldimplementurgentemissionreductions,whereasdevelopingcountriesareallowedrelativelyhigherfutureemissionquotas.TheUNDPstrategyaddressestheissueofsubstantialchangesinglobaltemperaturebutacknowledgesthatdevelopingcountriesarenotabletoaffordmorecostsformitigationmeasures,whichisinequitablefromtheperspectiveofacountry’srighttodevelop.WealsosimulatedtheCopenhagenAccordtodeterminetheconsequencesbytheyear2100ifeachcountrycontinuestheircurrentemissionmitigationactions,andresultsindicatedthattheincreaseinglobaltemperaturewillbe2.8℃by2100;consequently,muchstrongeremissionreductioneffortsmustbeimplementedafter2020.Basedonanalysisonmitigationstrategies,itisrecognizedthatthecommonbutdifferentiatedresponsibilityprinciplemustbeinsistedwhenmakingglobalmitigationstrategy.Tocomplywiththisprinciple,theemissionreductionbaselineofdevelopedanddevelopingcountriesshouldbediscriminated,so1990and2005canbetakenasthebaseyearfordevelopedanddevelopingcountriesrespectively.
简介:ResearchonnonlinearR/SmethodanditspplicationinearthquakepredictionBi-QuanWANG(王碧泉);Han-MingHUANG(黄汉明);Hong-ShunFAN(范洪顺);Chuen...
简介:TheurbanthermaldistributioncharacteristicsanditsvariationaredynamicallymonitoredandsyntheticallyanalyzedbyusingGIStechnology.Themeteorologicalsatellitedataserveasmaininformationsource,assistedasauxiliaryinformationsourcesbythelandsatsatelliteTMdata,landusethematicmapsandmeteorologicalobserveddata.Acorrelatedpatternonthegroundsurfacebrightnesstemperaturesandairtemperatureshasbeenstudiedandestablishedwithgoodperformanceofapplication.
简介:ThebasicprincipleofintervalarithmeticandthebasicalgorithmoftheintervalNewtonmethodsareintroduced.Theprototypealgorithmcannotfindanyzeroinanintervalthathaszerosometimes,thatis,itisinstable.Sotheprototyperelaxationprocedureisimprovedinthispaper.Additionally,animmediatetestoftheexistenceofasolutionfollowingbranch-and-boundisproposed,whichavoidsunwantedcomputationsinthoseintervalsthathavenosolution.ThenumericalresultsdemonstratthattheimprovedintervalNewtonmethodissuperiortoprototypealgorithmintermsofsolutionquality,stabilityandconvergentspeed.
简介:在Lorenz系统的一个类似物动态的模型(ADM)的理论基础和申请被学习。ADM能有效地联合状态能被认为是一个预言目的当前的起始的值的小骚乱在历史的类似物引用上在附加了的统计、动态的方法。主要分析证明在在模型参数添加骚乱的条件下面,ADM的模型错误是比纯动态模型(PDM)的那些小得多的。在Lorenz系统的ADM上的可预测性的特征被进行案例研究和全球实验在阶段空间分析。结果证明ADM罐头相当有效地减少预言错误并且与PDM相对照处于大多数状况延长预言的有效时间,但是当模型错误是更加小的时,后者将比前者优异。克服如此的一个问题,更新的multi-reference-state能被使用介绍多类似物和更改类似物的信息并且能在ADM展出令人激动的性能。
简介:Inmarineengineering,thestrengthofasubmarinesedimentisanindispensableparameterforassessmentofconstruction.Inthisstudy,afree-fallconepenetratornamedIPenwasdevelopedtorealizearapidandefficientmeasurementofsedimentstrength.Theequipmentischaracterizedbymodulardesignandself-containeddataacquisition.Itisequippedwithanaccelerationsensor,awaterpressuresensor,andapiezoconepenetrationtest(CPTu)probe.Itisdesignedtobereleasedfromnearseabedsurfacewithareleaserandthenfallfreelytoprovideahigherpenetrationvelocity.Itsmaximumworkingdepthisapproximately2500mandmaximumpenetrationdepthisapproximately3m.Toderivethecorrelationbetweenpenetrationresistanceandsedimentstrength,acalibratorwasdevisedtodeterminethepenetration-ratefactor.Inaddition,thefactorapplicabletoinsitutestpointswasdeterminedinlaboratoryexperiments.InJune2016,theIPenwastestedinsituintheSouthYellowSea,China,duringasharedvoyagefundedbytheNationalScienceFoundation.Meanwhile,undisturbedcolumnsampleswerecollectedforlaboratorytests.Basedontheinsitutestresults,itwasdemonstratedthattheIPencouldaccuratelyrecordtheworkingstatesofvarioussensorsduringthefreelyfallingcourse.IPentestresultsreliablyreflectedthesedimentstrengthatallthetestingpointswhencomparedwithlaboratorycalibrationtests,insituvanetestsandpenetrationtests,laboratorypenetrationtests,andunconsolidatedandundrainedtriaxialcompressiontests.
简介:SynthesizedPoissonandrenewalmodelanditsapplicationinseismichazardanalysisHan-YaoCHEN(陈汉尧)andYu-XianHU(胡聿贤)(InstituteofGeophys...
简介:Inthispaper,wecalculatedmulti-scaleresidualgeoidanomalieswiththemethodofgeoidseparationprocessing,accordingtoEGM2008ultra-highordergravityfieldmodel,remove-restoretechniqueandStokesintegral.TheEastAsiancontinentalmarginwasselectedasthestudyarea.Theresidualgeoidanomalieshavebeencalculatedbyprogramming.Onthebasisofresidualgeoidanomaliesatvariousorders,theinterlayergeoidanomaliesatdifferentdepthswerecalculatedtodepictthespatialdistributioncharacteristicsoftheresidualgeoid.Finally,weconductedadetailedgeophysicalinterpretationforthestudyareaaccordingtothegeoidanomaliesincombinationwithothergeophysicaldatasets.Fourconclusionscanbeoutlinedasfollows:1)itisimpracticablethatgeoidanomaliesareusedintheinterpretationoftheshallowobjectsduetotheinfluenceoftheterrain;2)theanomaliesofresidualgeoidcanreflecttheintensityofsmall-scalemantleconvectionintheasthenosphere;3)theinterlayergeoidanomaliescanreflectthemagmaticactivitiesassociatedwiththemantleconvectionandmantleplumeindifferentscales;4)thestudyofthegeoidmayprovideanapproachfortheresearchofthesubductionzone,mantleconvectionandmantleplume.
简介:AstudyoftheKunlunshanearthquakeofMS=8.1basedonobservedcoseismicstrainstepsfromtheboreholestrainmonitoringnetworkoverChinahasbeencarriedoutwithsomeinterestingresults.Firstly,manyrecordingsdisagreewiththeoreticcalculationusingstaticdislocationmodel.Secondly,abnormallylargestrainstepsareobservedatquiteafewstationsinthetectonicallyactiveeast-northernChina,whileintherelativelyinactiveeast-southernChinanoobviousstepsarerecorded.Itisinferredthatseismicstresstriggeringmaysignificantlyaffectremoteseismicstrainfield.Inotherwords,whetherremotefaultingbeseismicallytriggeredornotmaydeterminethepatternoflocalseismicstrainchanges.FurthercomparisonstudyresultsofMarch11,1999ZhangbeiearthquakeandNovember1,1999Datongearthquakeshowthatthespecificpatternofseismiczoneshasobviousinfluenceonseismicstrainchangesintheregion.Thissupportstheideathatobservedabnormalstrainstepsmightbeproducedbycoseismiclystress-triggeredlocalfaulting.
简介:对在苏格兰教会会员省的地震的时间的装载/卸掉反应比率(LURR)的变化,伊朗,在2005年2月22日M6.4并且在Lorestan省,伊朗,在2006年3月31日M6.1,在这被推测了并且分析纸。在伊朗的区域的速度空间的扫描ofLURR在到2006年3月31日的2003年1月1日期间被进行了,与象一扇时间窗户的1年,1个月作为时间步,并且在第2004wi的LURR异常区域的比较有5.0也在下一年(2005)里被给的M≥的实际地震,它与M≥显示出那11earthquakes5.0发生在LURR异常区域当时有M≥的12地震在2005的5.0个inLURR区域。而且,在这个区域的地震活动被调查异常LURR区域的发展学习。
简介:地震信号的变细经常用力量光谱的统计措施在频率领域被描绘。然而,常规Fourier基于变换的力量光谱评价方法受不了时间频率决定问题。Wigner-Ville分发,是科恩班时间频率分布的一个成员,拥有许多呼吁的性质,例如时间频率边缘的分发,时间频率本地化,等等。因此,Wigner-Ville分发为估计地震信号的变细提供一个新方法。这篇论文开始把简短介绍给Wigner-Ville分发和在减少跨术语的效果是有效的弄平的Wigner-Ville分发,然后基于Wigner-Ville分发的即时精力光谱为地震变细评价介绍一个方法。从在西方的中国的中央Tarim盆的一个真实数据例子被举说明建议方法的有效性。结果证明Wigner-Ville基于分发的地震变细评价方法罐头有效地检测礁石之间的差别,浅并且由他们的变细性质的泻湖外形,显示估计的地震变细能被用于礁石和浅碳酸盐水库描述。
简介:Atpresent,thereislesstheoreticalresearchandpracticalexperienceintheaspectofultrashallowseismicexplorationtothetargetlayersatdepthsofonlytensofmetersbothathomeandabroad.Seismicexplorationplaysanimportantroleinthelocationoffaultsandactivestructures,butthedepthdozensofmetersbelowthegroundsurfaceistheblindareaofanykindofdeepandshallowseismicexploration.Startingfromthepointofviewofdetectingurbanactivefaults,andusingrelatedtheoriesandmethodsofgeology,geophysicsandmathematics,thepaperdiscussesthepreconditionsforacquiringefficientultra-shallowseismicsurveyresultsincomplicatedgeologicalbackgroundsinQingdao.TakingtheQingdaoareaasanexampleinthispaper,westudythedepthconditionofQuaternarydeposits,andapply4-8stackingfoldstosatisfytherequirementtogettheexplorationresultswithhigh-resolutionandhigh-SNR.Preliminaryresultsrevealthatselectingapropersurveillancelayoutisoneofthekeystoacquireauthenticexplorationresultsinultra-shallowP-wavereflectionexploration.OurresultsalsoshowthatultrashallowseismicreflectionmethodindetectingfaultsintheQingdaoareahasgoodapplicationprospects.
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简介:TheHY-1AsatelliteisthefirstoceanicsatelliteofChina.Duringthewinterof2002~2003,thedataoftheHY-1AwereappliedtotheseaicemonitoringandforecastingfortheBohaiSeaofChinaforthefirsttime.TheseaiceretrievalsystemoftheHY-1Ahasbeenconstructed.Itreceives1Bdatafromthesatellite,outputsseaiceimagesandprovidesdigitalproductsoficeconcentration,icethicknessandiceedge,whichcanbeusedasimportantinformationforseaicemonitoringandtheinitialfieldsofthenumericseaiceforecastandasoneofthereferencedatafortheseaiceforecastingverification.Theseaiceretrievalsystemofthesatelliteisdescribed,includingitsprocesses,methodsandparameters.TheretrievingresultsandtheirapplicationtotheseaicemonitoringandforecastingfortheBohaiSeaarealsodiscussed.