简介:TheBrazilianchoiceontheenergymatrix,whichestablishedasaprioritytheexploitationofoilandconsequentlyitsderivativesforenergygeneration,hadconsequencesforitsforeigntraderelations.Itisimportanttoclarifythatthechoiceoftheenergymatrixinvolvesstrategicvariablesanddecisionsaboutinvestment,consumption,anddemandprojectedforthenext30years,forexample.Thus,thispaperintendstoanalyzethetradebalancebetweenBrazilandAlgeria(CountryofNorthAfrica,withastrongmovementofoilanditsderivatives),intheperiod2010-2016,focusingevenontheperiodinwhichBrazilbeganitsperiodsofrecession(2015).Theresearchproblemis,therefore,“duringtheperiodof2010-2016,whatisthesituationofthetradebalancebetweenBrazilandAlgeria?”.Therefore,thehypothesisformulatedisthat,becauseitdoesnothaveenoughtosupplyBraziliandomesticdemandforoiland,consequently,derivatives,Brazilhasimportedtheseproductsfromothercontinents.Duringtheperiodanalyzed,Brazildidnothaveafavorablebalance.ThereasonwhyAlgeriawaschosenforanalysisandnotanothercountrysinceBrazilhastraderelationswithmorethan70countriesisthattheAfricancontinentisthemainsuppliersurpassingthepercentageof71%,andAlgeriahassignificantrepresentativity.Themethodologyusedwasabibliographicalresearch,basedontheanalysisofrecentdatafromtheBraziliantradebalance,includinginthecontextofrecession,startingin2015.Theresultsobtainedare:(1)TheBrazilianenergymatrixisdiversified,butstillshowsamajorityofnon-renewableenergies,differentfromwhathappenswithotheremergingcountries;(2)itisnecessarytorevisethedemandforoilanditsderivativesforthenext30years,asamatterofurgency;and(3)theinvestmentvolumedefinedbytheBraziliangovernmentfortheenergymatrixisnotsufficientfortheestablisheddemand.
简介:分析目前我国所面临的局面并预测下一步经济走势,1995年中国经济面临着3种前景:第一种前景:宏观经济运行格局与去年相近似,即高增长伴随着高物价,宏观指标基本稳定与微观循环不畅并存。出现这种局面的可能性是很大的。从目前的现实看,今年宏观调控总的政策方针不会有明显的调整,即不断在经济增长与社会稳定之间寻找平衡点,并随着情况的变化对调控力度进行"微调",也不再出台新的改革措施。按照这一思路,今年经济增长率仍可保持在10%左右;通货膨胀率为15%或略低一点;全社会固定资产投资名义增长25%-30%,实物量增长13%-15%;社会消费品零售额名义增长
简介:英美式市场经济。这种模式的市场经济,信奉价值规律,政府对经济生活的干预较少。基本特征是:最大限度地发挥市场机制的资源配置作用,倡导自由竞争,实行自由放任;政府主要以政策形式对经济生活进行调控。这种模式以英国、美国为代表。东亚式市场经济。一些新兴工业化国家和地区,为了追赶发达国家,实行政府主导型市场经济,即在市场竞争的基础上,由政府出面,积极主动而强烈地干预经济。这种干预不等于直接管制和行政强制,政府的计划是导向性的。主要通过产业政策,有目标、有步骤地引导资源配置过程,推动经济发展。这些新兴工业化国家和地区以日本、韩国、新加坡、台湾为代表。