简介:Inthepasttenyearssince9/11,terrorismhasbecomeagrowingthreattointernationalsecurity,andtopeople'slivesandproperty.Increasingincidentsofterrorismhaveunderlinedthefundamentalstructuralflawsintheinternationalsystem,showingthatAmericanhegemonyhasreachedacertainlimit.NotonlyhavethemajorsecurityconcernsoftheUnitedStateschanged,butexistinginternationalstrategicrelationshavealsobeenshaken.Thishasdirectlyaffectedglobalstrategicstability.
简介:Theissuesofwarandpeacecapturedinternationalattentionin2014.ItwasthecentennialofWorldWarI,andthefocuswasontensionsinAsiaforthefirsthalfoftheyear.OneradicalWesternviewwentsofarastocomparetoday'sChinatopre-warGermanyinthemidstofrapideconomicgrowth,risingnationalismandabeefedupmilitary.ThehypeaboutBeijing'sallegedregionalexpansionpeakedattheShangri-LaSecurityForum(Singapore)inMay2014.However,eventsonthegroundprovedsuchglibaccusationswrong.InOctober2014,thisauthoraccompaniedseveralotherChinesescholarsinavisittosevenU.S.thinktanks.OurAmericanhostswerenotworried
简介:Thestrategiclegacyof9/11willoutlivetheKoreanandVietnamWarsandthetwoGulfWarsbecausetheytriggeredonlyquantitativeratherthanqualitativetransformationsintheinternationalstrategiclandscape.The9/11disastersparkedtheAfghanandIraqWarsandtheglobal'waronterror,'whichasyethavenoendinsight.Ithasalreadyledtoaqualitativeoverhaulintheworldstrategicorder,affectingtheinternationalpowerbalanceandperspectivesoninternationalrelationssomuchthateventheunfoldingupheavalinWestAsiaandtheNorthAfricaknownastheArabSpringseemsminorby
简介:TheSeptember11terroristattacksandtheconsequentU.S.actionsonterrorismaswellasitsadjustmentofglobalstrategyhaveexertedanin-depthinfluenceoninternationalandregionalsecuritystructure.AstheneighboringregionofAfghanistan--thetargetstateofAmericanwaronterror,itismoredifficultforSouthAsiatokeepalooffromtheaffairs.GreaterchangeshavetakenplaceinsecuritysituationintheregionandinWashington'scountermeasuresaswell.
简介:Securityenvironmentisbothanobjectiverealityandasubjectiveconsciousness.Hereso-called"objectivereality"mainlyreferstotheinherentlawofthechangesininternationalsecuritysituation.Toagreatextent,thesubjectiveconsciousnessoftheobjectiverealitydependsonthepositionandstrategicchoicesofanationintheinternationalsecurity
简介:The9/11attackwasundoubtedlyoneofthemostimportanteventstoinfluenceinternationalrelationsinthe21stcentury.OnSeptember11th,2001,al-Qaeda,ledbyOsamabinLaden,attackedtheUSheartlands.Theattackscausedthedeathofnearly3000peopleandledtodirecteconomiclossesofaroundUS$100billion.ThiswasthemostseriousexternalattackontheUSsincetheWarofIndependenceof1812.IninfluenceitsurpassedeventheattackonPearlHarborintheSecondWorldWar.9/11highlightedtheimportanceofnon-traditionalsecurityandraisedittoapositionalmostparallelwiththatoftheworld'straditionalsecurityagenda.Theeventshaveprofoundlyinfluencedtheoutlookandbehavioroftheworld'ssole
简介:Likeabigrockthrownintothepondofcurrentinternationalpowerconfiguration,theeventofSeptember11revealedtheturbulentundercurrentsbeneathitsseeminglytranquilsurface.ThesplashdowneffecthasspreadbeyondtheUnitedStatestoreacheverycornerofourplanet.Ithastriggeredrealignmentinbigpowerrelationsandwillhaveitsfar-
简介:“9·11事件”以来,“东突”势力中的极端恐怖组织日趋边缘化并出现分化。其中一部分组织“圣战化”倾向日益突出,其威胁仍在上升;另一些组织则与相对较为温和的“东突”分裂组织合流,加快整合进程;与此同时,“东突”势力主流实行策略调整,试图扭转劣势。由于与极端恐怖势力藕断丝连以及内部的权力斗争,“东突”的这一轮“转轨”努力成效有限。本文剖析了这些新动向及其原因,并在此基础上进一步分析了“东突”分裂势力的发展趋势,认为“东突”组织中“东伊运”等恐怖组织出现边缘化、“圣战化”趋势,而“世维会”的影响则呈不断扩大之势,有可能确立其在境外“东突”分裂势力中的主导地位。
简介:2015年6月19日,美国国务院发布了新版美国《2014年全球恐怖主义形势报告》(CountryReportsonTerrorism2014,以下简称《报告》),同日,美国国务院负责反恐事务的协调官蒂娜·凯达诺(TinaS.Kaidanow)召开特别简报会,对《报告》中涉及的相关政策议题作出解释说明。《报告》对2014年全球恐怖主义形势及美国的反恐战略进行了全面梳理与评估,认为全球恐怖主义形势呈现出三大趋势,全球恐怖组织问的实力对比也发生了实质性变化,无论从自身实力或声望上看,“伊斯兰国”已取代“基地”组织,成为全球头号恐怖主义威胁。