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  • 简介:ThispaperanalyzestheimpactsofurbanizationandunemploymentrateonChina’sdivorceratewiththepaneldataof31Chineseprovincesfrom2000to2011.Thestudymanifestsasfollows.First,thesignificantinfluenceofurbanizationcannotbeobservedontherisingbreakdownsincethelatterisnottheinevitableresultoftheformer.Inthesecondplace,unemploymentratehasasignificantnegativeinfluenceondivorcerate,namely,withtheformerincreasing,thelatterwilldecrease,whichechoestheperspectiveofdivorcecost.Andfinally,thispaperalsofindspositiveeffectsofpercapitafixedinvestment,old-agedependencyrate,averagehouseholdsize,theproportionoffloatingpopulationandpopulationdensity,andnegativecorrelationofaverageeducationattainmentondivorcerate.

  • 标签: URBANIZATION UNEMPLOYMENT RATE DIVORCE RATE PANEL
  • 简介:Whenwetrytoestimatefutureenvironmentalcostsresultingfromourcurrenteconomicactivities,weusuallycalculatethepresentvalueoftheconsequencesforourfuturegenerationsbyutilizingadiscountrateasastandardeconomicprocedure.Thepopularityofthisprocedureissolelysupportedbyitssimplicitywhichassumes:(1)aperfectfinancialmarketovereven100years,and(2)existenceofastabletimepreferencebetweentwoconsecutiveperiodsforanindividualconsumer.Anapparentdeficiencyofthisapproachisthatthepresentvalueoflifequalityoffuturegenerationsvariestoalargeextentalonganarbitrarilychosendiscountrate.Asamatteroffact,thediscountrate,whichcouldreflectthetimepreferenceas2%or5%,matterswhenwepredictcurrentstrategiesofenvironmentalprotectionforfuturegenerations.Simplyapplyingadiscountratetoevaluatethequalityofourfuturegeneration,withoutclarifyingtheactualproductionmechanismbehindthis,isalmosttothesameasignoringthefactthatallofthegoodsareproducedthroughanactualproductionprocessandthatenvironmentaldegradationreducestheefficiencyofthatprocess.Thegreatestconcernforourfuturegenerationsshouldnotbegivenbyanassumeddiscountrate,sincethediscountrateitselfisdeterminedbyfinancialmarketconditionsatcertainpointsintime.

  • 标签: time PREFERENCE DISCOUNT rate NEGATIVE externalities