简介:Thearticleestablishestheappraisalindexsystemforentireurbanagglomerationanditsinteriorcitiesindividually,concretelyincludingfiveaspects:drivingforcesfortourismdevelopment,theleveloftourismdevelopment,tourismimpacts,tourismeconomicconnectionandtourismcontributionsofdifferentcitiestothewholeurbanagglomeration.Astourismcompetitivenesshasthecharacteristicsofcomprehensiveness,systematicnessanddynamicness,thearticleattemptstoapplythestructuralpredictionmeansofsystemdynamicstoevaluatingtourismcompetitiveness,aimingtoprovidesomeresearchmethodsandanalysisideasfortourismcompetitivenessmeasurementandtrendsanalysisinurbanagglomeration.TakingShandongPeninsulaurbanagglomerationasthestudyarea,thearticlesimulatesandanalyzesthetourismcompetitivenesstrendofthewholeregionanditsinteriorcitiesfrom2005to2020,andtheresultreflectsthatintegrateddevelopmentandregionalcombinationoftourismareimportantmeanstoupgradetourismcompetitivenessinthisregion.