简介:ThelinkbetweenclimatechangeanddesertificationisanimportantglobalproblemfortheUnitedNationsFrameworkConventiononClimateChange(UNFCCC)andtheUnitedNationsConventiontoCombatDesertification(UNCCD).ThecoastalprovincesinSouthernCentreVietnamarestronglyinfluencedbydesertification,whichisfurtherexacerbatedbyclimatechange.TheDelphimethodwasusedtoselectsustainabilityindicatorsandthenamethodofananalyticalhierarchyprocesswasappliedtoprioritizesustainablesolutionsinBinhThuanexpertstoelicitthecausesandeffectsofdesertification.Accordingtothepanelof23experts,27cause(e.g.rainfallandsunshineduration)and22effect(e.g.riceandagriculture)indicatorswereofparticularimportancetodesertificationanddroughtintheprovince.Thehighestprioritiesforcausearegiventoemigration,followedbyincomefromindustryandwatersupplyforhouseholduse.Thehighestprioritiesforeffectintheareaaregiventosocioeconomiccriteria,andinparticulartothesub-criteriaresettlementduetodevelopmentprojects,buildinghydropowerreservoirs,andimplementingirrigationschemes.Thesystemofindicatorsprovidesusefulinformationforthefuturestudies.Thisstudyprovidesameanstouncoverthemostimportantcriteriaperceivedasmajorcontributorstodesertificationandassuchenablespolicy-makerstoprioritizesolutionsforBinhThuan(Vietnam)by2015andavisionin2020.