简介:China'smalemarriagesqueezeanditspotentialconsequencehaveattractedmuchattentionandgivenrisetodebate,butmoststudiescontributethissqueezetosexstructureandneglecttheagestructure,andsomestudiesuseflawedmethodtostudythecontributionofagestructureinthissqueeze.InthispaperwedevelopanindicatorofSpousalSexRatio(SSR)andapplyadecompositionmethodintoageandsexstructure.BasedonthedatafromChina's2010censusandprojection,wepredictthatfrom2010to2020,theagestructurewillbethedominantfactorforChina'smalemarriagesqueeze,andfrom2020to2034,thecontributionofsexstructurewillbeincreasing,whereasthatofagestructurewillbedecreasing.From2034to2045,China'smalemarriagesqueezewillmainlyfromimbalancedsexstructure,andtheagestructurewillcontributelittleornegativelytoChina'smalemarriagesqueeze.